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This is the oped I wrote in November 2024 before the US elections . Full text in the link below https://t.co/9ttItyqok1 ISRAEL AND IRAN ARE LIKELY TO ESCALATE Regardless of whether one agrees with Israeli political and military leaders’ assessment of the threat posed by Iran, a further escalation of the conflict between the two countries is now highly likely. Policymakers and financial risk managers may be hoping for the best, but they should be preparing for the worst.