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Open original source ↗Think so. But in the meantime, I call my strategy: Diversified Losses.
With $AXTI, $SOI, $AAOI, and many others.
Had a massive drawdown recently,
CPO exposure was hit the hardest (Foci, Msscorp, etc) and adjacent names, feels bad.
Probably lesson personally, I had too much concentration in photonics vs. memory/other sectors without weighting/hedging properly.
With Soitec, there's been a few negative institutional reports that I'd disagree with.
Think AXT was hit harder in specific just because of float expansion/dilution concerns. AAOI, probably just brought down with the theme.
I can't give advice on buying, so completely up to you to make for cost averaging or entering positions.
But I do think we're still early in the Supercycle with photonics, there's bound to be corrections/crashes along the way up.
If my personal thesis is correct though, many of these names will have a major inflection point in midway through 2027 scaling up to 2028.
Markets don't typically wait to price things in advance, but some ideas might be a tad early or in the buildout given it's H2 2026 now.
Which is why it's important to build your own conviction.
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@aleabitoreddit Do you think there's a possibility for $AXTI and $AAOI going rippy mode again soon? Super heavy losses this month
tsazeng ↗