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Open original source ↗ESMT (3006) is 1.9x P/E ratio off July's earnings annualized.
Latest net income was: $109M net income/July, which is ~$1.3B annualized. With ~$395.9M net cash and with $249.6M in inventory.
The market cap less net cash and inventory is equivalent to:
~17 months of July earnings.
Where monetizing that inventory benefits from rising memory prices.
Their ASP hike expectations were +105–113% Q/Q last quarter from other analyst notes.
DDR2/DDR3, NOR Flash, SLC NAND, prices are expected to keep rising H2.
The main question is duration, but I personally think legacy DRAM/NAND shortages tightens throughout 2027. Others might disagree.
Other analysts like Huanan argue that PSMC wafer hikes are largely pass through (we'll find out H2).
Most people are finding companies with ~20 forward P/E ending 2028 to be attractive...
But 1.9x current runrate P/E seems like an anomaly to me personally.
That's my take on the company/legacy memory theme, I'll let others/markets decide if that's undervalued.
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These are the quoted author’s words.
@aleabitoreddit 会不会现在的价格已经price in 了呀
ShrugFred ↗