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Open original source ↗Gold can't even rally on HOT inflation.
✅ CPI came in hot Wednesday. Gold dropped ~$60 in 15 minutes.
✅ Friday: back to ~$4,167. Down ~0.5% on the week.
😇 Money printer off, gold no bueno.
✅ Warsh's term as Fed chair runs to May 2030.
😇 Until then, we're in a lost period of time for gold.
➡️ "But an Iran deal makes gold run, right?"
😇 But my belief is that what goes up after an Iran deal are bonds.
➡️ Yields down, bond prices up, less deficit fear. Gold loses its reason to run.
➡️ So if the deal comes, I'm looking at $TLT, & gold gets left behind.
😇 And I'd rather buy semiconductors than gold.
😇 I think Kevin Warsh is actually going to usher in deflation.
➡️ Deflation after the AI buildout. Job losses after the buildout. Both bearish gold.
🚨 A real recession & the printer comes back early. Then gold wins & I'm wrong.
➡️ Bearish gold since January 30th. Two days before the top!
$IAU