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Open original source ↗This is nuking every single supply chain that passes through the US in any way, under the illusion that 45 years of deindustrialization can be fixed in one day of 45% tariffs.
Countless low-margin businesses, including US exporters, will be pushed into unprofitability.
If you’re a 98 year old man who hasn’t been working out since 1945, and you try benching 315 because you could do that 80 years ago — what happens?
Look at this.
They are restoring a single parameter to 20th century levels in the hope of restoring the 20th century.
But it doesn’t work like that. IBM can set their prices to 1945 levels without recovering the dominance of 1945.
Tariffs aren’t time machines.
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Flexport's team was able to reverse engineer the formula the Administration used to generate the "reciprocal tariffs." It's quite simple, they took the trade deficit the US has with each country and divided it by our imports from that country. The chart below shows the predictions of this formula plotted against the actual new tariff rates.
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Remember.... this assumes this tariff rate holds. We are one Truth Social post away from having to change this again. https://t.co/G9qO7DKeFe
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