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This is the perception. What’s the reality? https://t.co/pMScrMyXjw My view: Bitcoin > gold > public stocks > real estate > savings/CDs > bonds. At the end of a sovereign debt cycle, safe investments are unsafe. https://t.co/rRWXWe9T4Z Under normal circumstances I’d agree. But Western countries face sovereign debt crisis. And that means those states may not protect real estate. For example: NY favors squatters. CA can’t stop fires. And the UK is taxing farms. So land may be unsafe in an unsafe land. https://t.co/TpdMD8yBFw Yes. Unfortunately, China has different dynamics. Chinese bond yields are falling and just flipped Japan. Japan is the emerging market now. More precisely, Japan is descending world, and China is ascending world. Whether we like it or not. https://t.co/2dVv5cjP7e This is something that really should be written about more. If your house catches fire due to the city’s inability to extinguish fires, you evidently still need to pay LA for the property that they just negligently destroyed. Other jurisdictions must have saner policies… What’s interesting is that in 2011 — right after the financial crisis — the public was bullish on gold and bearish on real estate. But all the Fed purchases of mortgage-backed securities made them forget that real estate wasn’t safe. Even as billions piled into digital gold. https://t.co/vNAO2p7gjZ
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@balajis It depends on who you are and what you hold, I think. "Real estate" is a good example. On one hand, it includes people who own some awful timeshare in Tulsa, a mall in a blighted Rust Belt town, or whatever, and that was obviously a terrible investment compared to stocks, gold, etc. But if you're a British noble who still owns 10,000 acres of prime farmland, that probably is a better investment than stocks or crypto, even if the nominal capital gains for the other option is higher, as it produces an income while giving you a bit of power not attendant to more etherial assets

Will_Tanner_1 ↗

@balajis They aren’t rising in China… :)

LukeGromen ↗

@balajis Yep. My “safe haven” family home in LA is gone because our state leaders are incompetent. And I have to still pay property tax and mortgage on a dirt lot.

BoredElonMusk ↗

@balajis Real estate feels like it has to hit a wall Housing can either be affordable or a good investment. America chose the latter for the last ~40 years, but it can’t go up forever

rsg ↗
Library as of 2026-10-23