Source item

We're now in a double exponential. The first real example of Reed's Law in history. I've been building toward this idea for years. I first wrote about Reed's Law back in 2022, called AI the first true example of it in 2023, and by 2025 I was pointing out that almost nobody had priced what it actually means. Quick version for anyone who hasn't gone down this hole: Metcalfe's Law says a network's value grows with the square of its users… it's why the internet ate the world. Reed's Law goes further: when the members can form groups, value scales with two to the power of the number of members. Vastly faster. It's been true on paper for decades but never showed up cleanly in reality, because the nodes were humans, and humans are slow to form groups. The nodes are no longer human. AI agents form and dissolve coalitions in milliseconds, a million at a time. For the first time the maths has something to run on with no friction. That's what this chart is. On a log scale an exponential is a straight line. Look what happens after 2020... Every previous technology wave gave us decades to adapt. This one gives us years. Your job, your savings, the whole economy is about to change faster than any institution can keep up with. You can't even picture a double exponential. Neither can I. That's the whole point. The Exponential Age is what happens when AI, energy, robotics and crypto all hit the steep part of the curve at once and start feeding each other. Reed's Law is just one thread in a much bigger story… I wrote about this recently. Read it here: https://t.co/4nwOjK6Xkz