Source item
Open original source ↗I agree but would elaborate.
There are actually two security models:
Xi and Bukele.
Because as the dollar ends, a power vacuum is forming. The West itself is unfortunately no longer capable of maintaining order, either abroad or internally. The US military’s retreat from Asia/Europe in the 2025 National Security Strategy coupled with the endless, escalating domestic street violence is a preview of what is to come.
A period of American anarchy looms.
But to answer the question of what comes next, we have to ask: what is rising as the old order is falling? Well, China has disrupted Red America and the Internet has disrupted Blue America. So the future is likely China vs the Internet.
One way that manifests is that Democrats are turning to CCP, and Republicans are turning to BTC.
Over the long run, that also means the Western left goes with Xi, while the right goes with Bukele. It’ll be Communist America vs Maximalist America, roughly the left coast vs the Latin right.
For the last ten years, Democrats have defined “democracy” to mean rule by Democrats. Then they’re taken by surprise when ~50% of the votes go to Republicans.
Meanwhile, for the last ten years, Republicans have increasingly defined “American” to mean Red American. Then they’re sorely disappointed to find out that 50% of their fellow Americans are in fact blue.
But we are at a breaking point. Democrats are (finally!) abandoning the rhetoric of democracy for the substance of communism.
Carney’s formal alliance with China was a key moment. It will likely be copied by much of the Western left, starting with Western Europe but extending to Newsom, Walz, and Mamdani. They’ve already made moves.
What is the equivalent on the Republican side? Well, MAGA may be desirable but it is infeasible. The graph below shows the global economy of 1945 is long gone and not coming back. That was the most atypical time in human history, not the way things are today.
So: after MAGA, Maximalism. Bitcoin (and cryptocurrency more generally) is built for the coming sovereign debt crisis. And Bukele is highly competent. Along with Elon, Bukele is the most capable American leader, in the broad sense. He is already widely admired in LatAm. And may become as emulated in politics as Elon is in tech.
The main thing is that Republicans would have to redefine their identity to put a “fellow American” like Elizabeth Warren in the outgroup and an allied non-American like Bukele in their ingroup.
In other words, just like Democrats are giving up on “democracy” to embrace Chinese Communism, Republicans will eventually have to give up some illusions around “America” to work with allies abroad.
Meaning: Republicans will need to understand that Blue Americans like Elizabeth Warren have declared themselves their enemies while Orange non-Americans like Bukele (and other foreign conservatives and libertarians) are actually their friends.
Today, Republicans still hold out the vain hope of reconciling with Democrats that hate them. But as more Blue Americans (and Western leftists like Carney) formally ally with Chinese Communists, then Republicans will finally pattern recognize Blue Americans as traitors. And then reds will think of blues as blues think of reds.
That whole realization will require the current moment to play out.
Once it does, Elon/Bukele could be the emerging counterweight to the Democrat/Communist sphere. Technology and BTC and the Latin right vs wokeness and CCP and the left coast. And the two security models of Bukele (for the Western right) and Xi (for the Western left).
PS: see why MAGA is infeasible below, as is Biden’s BBB. Basically, 1945 was extremely atypical and isn’t coming back.
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Segment 1 · characters 0–985 · Original segment ↗
Segment 2 · characters 987–3708 · Original segment ↗
Quoted context
These are the quoted author’s words.
America needs a Bukele longterm but people aren’t quite ready for it yet. Mark my words though: That’s what comes next in the mid 2030’s. I’ll be the first to champion it when the time comes.
robbystarbuck ↗