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JUST IN: Democrat James Talarico is now a 66% favorite to win the Texas Senate race, per Polymarket⁠.com. It has been back and forth between him and Ken Paxton all race. Texas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1988.

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BREAKING: James Talarico surges to record high odds in the Texas Senate race while sidelined from campaigning with "the flu," canceling multiple events this week. 66% chance Talarico flips Texas blue. https://t.co/GRA9bjoY7z

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Library as of 2026-10-22