Source item
Open original source ↗is it really at 88%?
Quoted context
These are the quoted author’s words.
Polymarket currently has 88% odds on Dems taking the House. I would put the odds at almost inverse at 20% with an 80% prob of Republican sweep. If following the election the Dems have 218+ seats I will do the following to give this some teeth: 1) I’ll publicly Mea Culpa and QT this post 2) I won’t post for the next thirty days as punishment So you know I’m invested (figuratively, since I’m not allowed to bet on elections) 🫡
TMTLongShort ↗