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Open original source ↗Next year's big tech capex will be meaningfully higher than where the Street is at in part because of today’s Ratepayer Protection Pledge from the White House.
➡️Tech is happy to pay for power.
➡️This marks a shift in the AI Arms Race by laying from silicon to power.
➡️This will increase our reliance on Google, Meta, Amazon and Meta.
➡️The cost will translate to higher capex for longer.
2026, the mega caps will increase capex by about 65% compared to 70% last year.
➡️2027, the Street is expect mega cap capex to increase by 14%. I expect it to be 40%.
➡️Currently the Street is at 14%. The numbers: Google 13%, Amazon 6%, Meta 13%, Microsoft 19%.