2026-08-17XQuote

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Too aggressive re Anthropic. Base case of $250 B ‘27 exit run rate (same size as MSFT & Meta) seems wild but achievable. $450 B (size of Apple & Google) seems too aggressive given compute & regulatory constraints. Margins also likely lumpy as big compute comes online. 🧐📈

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Gavin Baker and David Sacks predict $400-500 billion ARR for Anthropic in 2027 Gavin: "I'm going to take the over on whatever the Wall Street consensus is for 2027, which I don't know. I'll take a 25 to 30% over on that." "I think $400-500 billion is in the zone of realistically achievable." Sacks: "I actually was going to say $400-500 billion as exit ARR for next year. Seems very comfortable. "The only reason it's not higher is because I do think that somehow you get into physical limitations at that point. But maybe not, maybe there'll be enough compute." Jason: "We all believe that they're going to hit $400 billion next year, and they're going to 4x $100 billion." "We were talking about them at $10 billion four months ago. $10 billion to $400 billion is a 40x..."
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