PlanB

@HodlCanadi93198 IMO bitcoin is (temporarily) undervalued .. until it's not. Reason can be that bitcoin is a new asset, btc doesn't have the history and credibility that silver/gold/RE have, and investors have to get used to it (learning curve, inertia etc).

2024-2028 bitcoin halving cluster is forming: - Starts with S2F jump after the halving (blue->red) - Note: btc now scarcer than gold & real estate - Then red dots turn orange/yellow at the top - Note: btc jumps an order of magnitude - Then a bear market (green) & recovery (blue) https://t.co/97HLwnjfH7

We are all Satoshi

Bitcoin is 90% boring (yellow boxes). All gain is in only 10% of the time (red arrows). Always after a halving. Coincidence? I don't think so. #S2F https://t.co/p3dfHAc7cc

@mangosteenbtc No, wrong conclusion. Tip: ignore the noise (dots) and follow the signal (yellow line)

Bitcoin Relative Strength Index (RSI) = 63. Right in the middle (black area at 65) between bull & bear. RSI moving average (yellow line) cuts through the monthly noise and keeps rising into bull area (>65). More info 👉 https://t.co/NWpS8g4K3S https://t.co/ojxrtpAGUc

Why is bitcoin not going up? Why are we still in a 8-month trading range?

Bitcoin September close: $63.302 8th month in the 60k-70k trading range ... https://t.co/51o7XXRT0u

3 years ago. I will never forget.

As you know my bitcoin prediction is ~500k average for 2024-2028 halving period, with 250k-1m stdev band. 2020-2024 prediction (made in 2019 when btc<4k) was ~50k average, with 25k-100k band. 2020-2024 average was 34k. I know some keep crying "but 100k" ... IMO 34k was spot on. https://t.co/4edrv8a3x5

Like clockwork https://t.co/dCnUPb0FH6

Just a scenario: - Oct: classic pump month. BTC 70k - Nov: Trump wins election, ends democrats Biden/Harris/Warren/Gensler war on crypto. BTC 100k - Dec: massive ETF inflow. BTC 150k - Jan: crypto people/companies return to US. BTC 200k - Feb: Power Law crew sells. BTC 150k - Mar: bitcoin legal tender in Bhutan, Argentina and Dubai. BTC 300k - Apr: Trump/US start building strategic BTC reserve. BTC 400k - May: Other countries (except EU) join rat race. BTC 500k - Jun: several AI start using bitcoin to autonomously arb tradfi. BTC 600k - Jul/Dec: face melting FOMO. BTC ATH 1M - 2026: distribution phase. BTC back to 0.5M - 2027: bear market. BT…

Bitcoin $3->$63K: 20,000x US M2 money supply $10T->$21T (in trillion on chart): 2x https://t.co/jAfuFojxXs

The yellow periods are boring, bitcoin does not move. It's all about the short periods in between: 2013, 2017, end-2020. Those are the fundamental price moves. Don't miss next move! https://t.co/2lFNRP0kEd

💥My first public chat/interview in almost 2 years! Thanks @MarkValek (Incrementum), @ChrisJKuiper (Fidelity) for a great discussion. We talk bitcoin, gold and other assets, valuation, risk versus return, volatility, fundamentals, macro and much more: https://t.co/QCBeUZMUP2

60,000 is the new 10,000 ... a matter of time before it explodes upwards IMO https://t.co/qMrqEj8TO4

@Excellion Agree. All models are wrong, some are useful. PL and S2F are both wrong, and both useful. IMO it is absurd (and very temporary) that bitcoin market cap is lower than gold market cap, while bitcoin is twice as scarce as gold (S2F ~120 vs ~60). Omega in 3,2 1.. Btw that is not the "original PlanB model" but someone else's variant he found on google. The 2019 original is, of course, here: https://t.co/M0HmWDQn00

@RVTrades69 Thank you

So much lies from Giovanni, I have to reply: - I do not sell anything, all my info is for free. Gio sells stuff. - The data (see my quoted tweet/charts below) shows S2F 97.7% R2 and PL 94.7% R2. So the data is clear: there is a S2F-price relationship, and it is stronger than PL-price. Gio ignores the data and just blurbs "no information, zero, false, no relationship, garbage". - Gio claims I based my S2F model on his PL model. That is not true! As I said many times before, time models (like Trololo, PL etc) were my starting point, I used time models before S2F, and still use them. But I wanted to know WHY bitcoin price increases over time, WH…

Spot the 2021 bull market😅 Also: some people think 2024 bull market is behind us .., WRONG, next bull market has not even started yet. https://t.co/IvSmHJuZiH

Miners are still struggling with the aftermath of the halving. We need 2x current BTC price to kick-start the bull pump. https://t.co/TmJEyI8L2d

I am back from sailing The bad news: I encountered a storm and lost the boat .. and my ledger with all my bitcoin😭 The good news: markets are still sideways, in a trading range around 60k, so I can re-buy some. Also, bitcoin is in a bull market, but the pump has yet to come🚀 https://t.co/LDYkPUlYLE