PlanB

Fact: there has been no real bull market (diverging arithmetic and geometric means) .. yet No bull market = no bear market (converging arithmetic and geometric means) https://t.co/gBtYg5F7uK

Some are calling the bear market. I don't agree. The fact that Bitcoin’s 200-week arithmetic and geometric means have been close together for over a year indicates reduced volatility and steady sustained uptrend, doubling from $20k to $40k in 2023 and from 40k to $80k in 2024. What if this steady uptrend continues, from $80k to $160k in 2025, to $320k in 2026, to $640k in 2027 etc? Yes such a scenario would mean the end of the 4-year cycle, earlier than I expected tbh, but it would fit a more mature market. Also note: you can only have a real bear market (converging arithmetic and geometric means) after a real bull market (diverging arithmeti…

Bitcoin closed Feb at $84,321 ... the dump before the pump? https://t.co/8XLHldRPQh

If we see a V-shaped recovery after this dip (next week or so), then that confirms that we are still in a bull market. Bull markets are full of -20% -30% dips, followed by sharp V-shaped recoveries. https://t.co/uKi8GydAha

Periodic reminder. 2016-2017 bull market (which current bull market mimics) had multiple -30% dips on the way up. Have to get rid of the tourists. https://t.co/mSi4kOvGHA

So when you buy bitcoin ETFs you are a retard, idiot, traitor, know nothing about bitcoin. And Larry Fink (BlackRock CEO) is the devil. But if you buy (Micro)Strategy you are a smart investor, great bitcoiner. And Michael Saylor is the Godfather of bitcoin. Make it make sense!

Periodic reminder https://t.co/w10LXPOKCk

What 4 months (Feb-May) with +40% return would look like. Note that each prior bull market (2013, 2017, 2020/21) had at least 4 months with +40% return... https://t.co/BspAnNmeo5

@KimmoRytkonen @IvanOnTech IMO it is certain that the bull market will end and transition into the distribution phase. This will happen gradually (like 2017), after face melting FOMO (like 2013), or abruptly after something bad happened. Personally I will never sell all, but I will rotate and re-balance a bit.

🔴->🟠 Almost 1 year since the halving, bitcoin red dots are turning orange (and then yellow): entering the 2nd stage of the bull market, the steep FOMO stage.🚀 https://t.co/9g9UMzMYma

@TruthFromATL @shyam30687 I just want to warn newcomers. Number 1 reason for loss is distraction by shitcoins IMO. Yes some will hit the jackpot and find the random 1000x gem, but most will just lose their money. IMO it is better to focus and learn about bitcoin. Bitcoin is not a project, stock, company.

ETH below 0.03 BTC, same as in 2016 ... XRP below 0.00003 BTC, same as in 2013 ... Lesson: bitcoin is the signal, shitcoins are noise IMO https://t.co/70AFEUkSlM

@thorben_trades All in

If BTC has to drop to 90k to finaly get rid of shitcoins like XRP and ETH, it would be expensive, but worth it. https://t.co/72yKm9yCco

This time is different https://t.co/Sg0hj9tH26

Bitcoin January closing price: $102,412 .. NEW monthly close ATH and first monthly close above $100k!! https://t.co/0rexm4cPHR https://t.co/7uI9IMw0tL

Last dump before the pump?

So it begins https://t.co/QvEUKaAFL0

Bitcoin is getting stronger (RSI=76)🚀 99% of traditional finance has absolutely no idea what is happening. We are so early. https://t.co/SHqJFSdva6

J20🚀 https://t.co/HHVrW6FxxV

My forward guidance for 2025 has not changed since 2022 (when bitcoin was 20k, see below): ✅rise into April 2024 halving ✅halving around S2F value ✅pump after halving ✅ 100k in 2024 ⬜️ 2025: hit S2F target ~500k average (range 250k-1m) https://t.co/osA3vXAW9D

Happy New Year 2025! Bitcoin closed 2024 at $93,381 .. onward and upward🚀 https://t.co/C1IRwHw35s

Like clockwork 🚀 https://t.co/uuIHC813pj

💥New podcast. Scott and I talk about macro, markets, bitcoin, cycles, and forecasts. https://t.co/73sB2tTCTh

My forward guidance for 2024 has not changed since Oct 6, 2022 when bitcoin was 20k (see below): ✅️rise into April 2024 halving ✅️halving around 55k ✅️pump after halving ✅️hit 100k in 2024 - hit S2F target ~500k average (range 250k-1m) in 2025

Happy $100k!🥳🍾🥂 https://t.co/Swgwwi88cC

Bitcoin November closing price: $96,441 🚀 https://t.co/NNt377ESpe https://t.co/DZrnrPclOV

Bitcoin is getting stronger, RSI is 75 now, soon 80+ https://t.co/gduBMQsA2y https://t.co/Dd6NsU5W57

Let's break Stock-to-Flow model to the upside! https://t.co/NNt377ESpe https://t.co/d9tPY5ujCy

You can still front-run Saylor's $42B bitcoin purchase and Trump's $92B bitcoin purchase, but not for long! You have the inside info because you are on X, but only until the normies and tradfi begin to understand. Last opportunity to buy bitcoin below $100k? https://t.co/DhPnZ59jfx