PlanB

Happy 2026!! Bitcoin closed 2025 at $87,496 Down -6% from $93,381 end 2024. https://t.co/TrVXAfxc1c

IMO bitcoin is extremely undervalued. Bitcoin is scarcer than gold and real estate, but valued 10x to 100x lower. Interesting times ahead. https://t.co/Pdatqz855f

Bitcoin ($87,500) is currently (pink dot) way off its historic correlation with stocks ($6900) and gold ($4500). This happened before, when BTC was below $1k, and resulted in a 10x pump. But correlation could also be broken, and then this time will be different. Time will tell.. https://t.co/3JwLkgUydB

Why is bitcoin not pumping? Because 50% is selling (OGs traumatized by 2021, technical investors looking at RSI, 4y cycle fans expecting a bear 2y post halving) while the other 50% is buying (fundamental investors, tradfi, banks). Epic battle ... until sellers are out of ammo. https://t.co/er7upg25RV

Bitcoin November close: $90,382 ... mixed signals https://t.co/ReNiVwCiEO

My view has not changed since 2019. In 2019 btc market cap was $100B ($5k btc). This chart said btc mcap would grow to $1T ($50k btc) in 2020-2024 halving period (blue arrow). It did. The same chart shows $10T mcap / $500k btc for 2028 (red arrow). That is still my view. https://t.co/J8e2YqmMQa

@TheBitcoinTramp Did you see the 2019 article that goes with it? https://t.co/kgqrcrlP63

Bitcoin October closing price: $109,554 Monthly analysis video will be on YouTube in a few hours https://t.co/srfR40Qnea

Bitcoin whitepaper is included in block 230009 on the blockchain. If you run a BTC node then you can retrieve the pdf yourself: 1) run node: bitcoind 2) run client with this command: bitcoin-cli getrawtransaction 54e48e5f5c656b26c3bca14a8c95aa583d07ebe84dde3b7dd4a78f4e4186e713 0 00000000000000ecbbff6bafb7efa2f7df05b227d5c73dca8f2635af32a2e949 | sed 's/0100000000000000/\n/g' | tail -n +2 | cut -c7-136,139-268,271-400 | tr -d '\n' | cut -c17-368600 | xxd -p -r >bitcoin.pdf

No worries, retail will come https://t.co/rwulv4WmCP

Only constant in human action is greed & fear (in the chart: RSI color overlay). IMO greed (red) will return. Scarcity (in the chart: S2F dotted line) is a fundamental driver of value, together with other factors. Bitcoin is scarcer than gold. IMO mcap BTC will be > mcap gold. https://t.co/DGwvTNe0kU

Realized price $55k and rising + 2-year realized price $95k and rising + 5-month realized price $113k and rising + Bitcoin $115k, above all realized prices = bullish🚀 https://t.co/QWwIaAXyDx

Bears think $126k was the top, and btc will fall below $100k, and 2026 will be a bear market mainly because ... the 4 year cycle!? IMO that is a BIG misunderstanding. Yes, there is a 4y halving cycle that doubles S2F-ratio, and 6 months before until 18 months after a halving was very profitable last 3 cycles. But, 3 cycles is not enough for a reliable pattern, and it is absolutely not guaranteed that the top is again 18 months after the halving (Oct'25!). Also, S2F model says nothing about tops or bottoms, only about the average price level in a halving cycle, assuming a fundamental phase transition (as described in the S2FX article, on my w…

Still bull IMO https://t.co/NAwotgm7O3

63% of people think bitcoin will drop below $100k. I would not be surprised if bitcoin will NOT drop below $100k again, as we see $100k resistance turn into $100k support, as Sept close was the 5th monthly close in a row above $100k. Same happened with $10k, $1k, $100 and $10. https://t.co/S69cFEOm3V

Bitcoin monthly RSI 72 .. not even close to overbought https://t.co/tnu174BM7D

New bitcoin ath🚀 https://t.co/4eQ3qS3vLi

RSI 69, not overbought (80+), confirming solid uptrend https://t.co/UzkMm5aENS

Bitcoin Sept close: $114,065 .. ready for Uptober, Moonvember, Bullcember? https://t.co/Iw8YRFkYqu

Like clockwork https://t.co/m8Z3ckaoY6

@JakeLone89 Yes, good eye. I changed the color overlay from "months until next halving" to RSI, because many people thought S2F model is the colors ... which of course is not true (S2F model forecasts the average price level in a halving period, often a step-wise dotted line in my charts).

MA's diverging, waiting for 🔴 in 3,2,1 ... https://t.co/gsHM55DGzF

Whether you like it or not, bitcoin's value is very much linked to its scarcity. Fiat will be printed, bitcoin will rise. https://t.co/iJ854qXw33

✅ Nov'22 $15.5k was the bottom ✅ 2024 halving was above $32k ✅ 2025 is above $100k These Jan 12, 2023 predictions might seem conservative and obvious now, but at the time ($18k) most people thought I was crazy. So what's next? IMO bitcoin will be >$250k in 2026. https://t.co/eRpzLWhSG5

Bull market continues https://t.co/6Rvz8Jz2gv

2 out of 3 people think 2026 will be a bear market where bitcoin crashes. But what if bitcoin continues its yearly doubling, from $20k to $40k in 2023, to ~$80k in 2024, possibly $160k end of 2025, $320k 2026, $640k 2027. Wouldn't surprise me.. https://t.co/ZD5UifkeNn

🚀🚀🚀🚀 https://t.co/5O2fb3zFBK

Bitcoin August closing price: $108,269 200w moving average: $52k and rising Realized cost price: $52k and rising 14m RSI (color overlay): 67 (uptrend) Bull market continues🚀 https://t.co/MV7Myt1R1f

How will there be diminishing returns when debasement is exponential? All asset prices increased exponentially last 10y (driven by money printing): - gold 3x (~$1k to ~$3k) - S&P 3x (~$2k to ~$6k) - bitcoin 250x (~$400 to ~$100k) IMO it is a unit of account phenomena. https://t.co/uwCrm926xT

@willywoo Tbh I don't think paper bitcoin will impact bitcoin price that much anyway, because PIE fund's counterpart at CME will most probably buy spot BTC (capturing cash and carry). Also, if there were a big impact then the S2F-price fit in the chart above would not be this good.