PlanB

2026 is the first year ever in which bitcoin difficulty dropped. What do you think it means? https://t.co/0czgWD0zu1

To be clear (if it wasn't already clear from me retweeting Adam on this topic): I am against the bip 110 filter fork. IMO filter fork proponents do not really understand: - bitcoin as a decentralized bearer asset - bitcoiners dislike spam more then they do - why BCH fork failed

Bitcoin price is currently best estimated by bitcoin difficulty (proxy for bitocin production cost), not S2F, not "powerlaw", but dificulty. https://t.co/rmWPi9m81W

Was July $58k the bottom of this bitcoin bear market, and does BTC go up from here? Or, is the bear market bottom yet to come, and below $58k?

Like clockwork 🔴🔵🔴🔵🔴🔵🔴🔵🔴🔵... https://t.co/fxfGPyHzNT

Of course bitcoin can still drop below realized price ($53k), like it did in every bear market bottom. But Oct $126k top was not the cycle top IMO. Based on stock-to-flow valuation, BTC could still go to $500k ($250k - $1m range) .. this cycle (2026-2028! Patience https://t.co/uTLudDqtW1

I❤️this new chart! Bitcoin’s entire cost basis through time: • Satoshi-era coins still sitting at <$0.04 since 2009🟥 • Most 2010–2013 coins are basically gone🟦 • Capitulation at bear bottoms (2014,2018,2022)🟨🟥 Free live chart + data downloads👇 https://t.co/KEK5tp3wT9 https://t.co/DaGr79KFOf

Bitcoin just touched the 200-week MA again.📉 Nobody knows if this is THE bottom... But history shows: 🔵Blue zones are the BEST buying opportunities 🔵They ALWAYS touch the 200W MA 🔵They go up: ~$250 → ~$4k ~$4k → ~$20k ~$20k → ~$60k Interesting times ahead!👀 https://t.co/zTv21qEjIM

🔵 Only ~50% of #Bitcoin is in profit right now. How long will BTC stay stuck in this blue zone? It could take a couple more months… but once this metric flips back to 🟢, a new bull cycle begins. History is clear on what happens next 👀 https://t.co/uPeVuzpHd9

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I have been using data from BlockHorizon for all my analysis and charts. This used to be proprietary data. Now they’ve opened it up: free access to all metrics, charts, and downloadable raw datasets, updated daily. Worth checking out👉 https://t.co/KEK5tp3wT9 https://t.co/bI99kw2565

Bitcoin closed June at $58,526 BELOW 200 week moving average ($62k) ABOVE realized cost price ($52k) ALL previous bear market bottoms were below realized price ... https://t.co/sY4wwEH42l

What will trigger bitcoin's liquidation phase to the bear market bottom next couple of months?

Bitcoin will likely bottom BELOW Realized Price (~$53k), just like it did in EVERY previous bear market. Right now the grey Realized Price line has been glued to the black 200-week Geometric MA line since 2023. What do you think: new low incoming or different this time?👇 https://t.co/LUFUNLblV6

In the next 4 years bitcoin price will:

Not to bash ETH and correct me if I am wrong, but IMO this ETH/BTC chart is remarkable and has important insights: - ETH has done worse than bitcoin over last 10 years!! Still at 0.026 BTC, like March 2016. - No ETH bull market pump in 2023/2024, like it did in 2017 and 2021... https://t.co/JOVOQVAWy0

Reason why bitcoin had a lousy 2025 bull, decoupled from gold & equities, is in bear now ... is the complete implosion of altcoins IMO. Take ETH for example: -70% from its 2021 top and almost back to its 2017 top 📉IMO shitcoins are done, lesson learned, expensive but worth it. https://t.co/scNCGl9ArW

AI (gemma4:12b) understands bitcoin better than most humans, and certainly better than most traditional media😂 https://t.co/3fXc9Majqp

✅ below 200w moving average (black line) 🔳 below realized price (grey line $53k) ...

Was Februari $60k the bottom of this bitcoin bear market, and does BTC go up from here? Or, is the bear market bottom yet to come, and below $60k?

One of my first tweets (2018) .. funny in hindsight

📈Bitcoin April close: $76,310 BTC will go up long term (debasement + scarcity) but mixed signals short term: 2 charts left show RSI and %_BTC_in_profit🔵already at bottom levels -> BTC up? 2 charts right show Realized Price and Drawdown🟢not yet at bottom levels -> BTC down? https://t.co/GRqpjtQRCf

No doubt there will be a new bull market with new ATHs but IMO bitcoin will go lower🔵before next bull market🔴 * Note color scale is different in this chart: drawdown (BTC price / ATH) instead of relative strength index (RSI). Easier to calculate and easier to understand. https://t.co/03x2jrjKIn

Bitcoin closed March at $68,215 (RSI 44🔵) As said before, I would not be surprised if BTC dips below 200w moving average ($59k) and realized price ($54k) before next leg up towards S2F $500k levels ($250k-$1m range). Interesting times head. https://t.co/8R91WdWCVR

Bitcoin closed February at $66,985 .. below 2021 ATH Approaching 200 week moving average ($58k black line) and realized price ($54k grey line). RSI<45 (blue). https://t.co/ikWODbajQG

Where will this bitcoin bear market bottom out (roughly)?

Bitcoin closed January at $78,635 (-38% from ath) 200 Week Moving Average $58k Realized Price $55k, decreasing RSI dropped below 50, blue: official bear territory Historically BTC could drop to 200WMA/RP levels However bull has been weak (no red) so bear might be shallow https://t.co/Mxps9J5wLB

Gold and bitcoin investors love to argue about who is smarter. But gold and bitcoin are in the same team and risk/return profile (calmar) is almost identical. Best investment is a combi of gold AND bitcoin. E.g. 80% gold + 20% bitcoin has LESS risk and 2x MORE return than gold. https://t.co/Cs3PFPA25o

Gold added roughly $10 trillion in marketcap last year. It wouldn't surprise me if some of that profit is rotated/diversified into bitcoin. https://t.co/swd3iotlfl

@TimeHODLer2100 🎯