🟢🔴🟢🔴🟢🔴🟢 .. it can't be that easy, right? https://t.co/bGgp4oDhir
PlanB
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⚠️ Update ⚠️ I moved my bitcoin to ETFs in 2025 and got a lot of heat for that decision. Then the Coldcard entropy issues came out. Then Ledger devices with unauthorized hardware implants were discovered. Zero regrets of my ETF decision. Peace of mind.
Bitcoin ... like clockwork https://t.co/YvGCK7WhWA
You used to pay $1,000/m for bitcoin metrics. That era is over. BlockHorizon is 100% free: ✅ 150+ charts (MVRV, NUPL, Realized etc) ✅ Full history ✅ Unlimited alerts ✅ CSV / XLS / JSON data downloads BTC $86k is sitting on 2-year realized price 👉 https://t.co/WGsyMg0UO2 https://t.co/xPI655b4UX
What a time to be alive!🚀 Interactive chart: https://t.co/X7FibG481S https://t.co/IcdAVcuaQC
$85k bitcoin .. clear skies ahead Interactive chart and data (100% free): https://t.co/H7ICfIauUt https://t.co/clFYH09gXq
@BlueOyster14 @BlockHorizonIO I am not concerned about a weak October. In fact, October has historically been a very good month, hence the name Uptober. https://t.co/4N5atE2feg
@GregHathorn @BlockHorizonIO In profit percentages are on-chain, so indirectly include ETFs because ETFs buy/sell real bitcoin too (I read somewhere they have ~1m BTC right now). But by all means judge for yourself if the btc in profit color overlay is useful to you, it sure is useful for me!
@Dirindin533 @BlockHorizonIO Bitcoin is indeed far off any model right now (e.g. also far below powerlaw). IMO it does not mean all these models are "broken" or "not working", it does mean that bitcoin is extremely undervalued.
@Not_Z_Man @BlockHorizonIO Refitted right after the halving in 2024. Original model was fitted in March 2019. This 2024 refit used 5 years of new out-of-sample data. I will do a new refit after 2028 halving. https://t.co/YFjk8BJXwM
Bitcoin closed September at $83,563 - Above Realized Price $54k - Above 200-week MA $66k - Addresses in profit 82% - UTXO in profit 80% - Bitcoin in profit 71% Looking forward to Uptober! https://t.co/Xius5cJZ7D
Bitcoin is getting stronger https://t.co/ZAbx11e3zz
Just a scenario for the second half of this halving cycle, Apr 2024 - Apr 2028 (no not a prediction, just a scenario, food for thought, you assign the odds): 🔳 $100K in October 🔳 New ATH (>$126K) before Christmas 🔳 2027 - 2028: >$232K (4x $58K bottom) What do you think?
⚠️Stop blaming influencers for your investment results! That’s not analysis. That’s outsourcing responsibility. Do this instead: - Follow bulls AND bears - Steal their reasoning - Ignore their certainty - Assign your own odds (60/40, 70/30, whatever) - Size the trade yourself https://t.co/AB8akAhK1x
BTC $87K is now sitting above every major realized price: • Realized price: $53K • 155-day realized: $72K • 2-year realized: $86K A drop below $53K this cycle is off the table IMO. The “must retest realized price like every prior bear” thesis just lost its last clean setup. https://t.co/CoyyEcj9eY
Last time you’ll see Bitcoin under $100k? Look at the October column. Uptober is loading.🎃📈 https://t.co/ltCDf9TaXD
Bitcoin ($81k) closed above 50-week MA ($79k). Next target: 100-week MA ($89k) 🚀 Interactive chart: https://t.co/OrlNcbTbZf https://t.co/ok7HnDVcL7
🟦Now we wait until bitcoin difficulty goes up .. Interactive difficulty chart: https://t.co/zDeHD2HAnj https://t.co/zDKCqZWohO
Bitcoin left the 200-week moving average again. BTC price: $77k 200WMA: $65k 🔵Every cycle bottom happened when the rainbow turned blue. The people who bought the last three times this happened made generational wealth. Interactive chart👉https://t.co/sbL34SBSjq https://t.co/3GilpwT4eS
$77k bitcoin is squeezed between two giant walls: 🟠 1M BTC sitting at $62–65k 🔵 1M BTC sitting at $84–87k Which way does it break $65k or $84k? Live interactive version of this chart 100% free (full history, daily updates, alerts, CSV/XLS/JSON data): https://t.co/2WM9TfT8Mm https://t.co/PT52myeGZb
You used to pay $1,000-$10,000/y for bitcoin metrics. That era just ended. BlockHorizon opened the full stack, 100% free: ✅ 100+ charts (MVRV, NUPL, Realized, S2F) ✅ Full historic data, daily updates ✅ Unlimited alerts ✅ CSV/Excel/JSON downloads 👉 https://t.co/WGsyMg0mYu https://t.co/1cZP85HvPo
One of my first tweets, 2018, pre-S2F, most people thought bitcoin was like the Tulip Bubble ...
Bitcoin just ran $58K → $78K. Was July 1 the bear-market bottom?
Bitcoin closed August at $78,571 - Above 200 week MA $65k - Above 5 month (STH) realized price $72k - All realized prices are increasing again - Bitcoin in profit 72% (up from 50%) - Monthly RSI 51 (up from 41) IMO the bottom is behind us. I expect higher prices from here. https://t.co/h5IcFoBJG6
✅Bitcoin in profit > 70% (color overlay in this chat) ✅BTC > 200 week moving average (black line) ✅RSI > 50 (trend is up) ✅QE restarted Feels like the bear is dead and bulls are in charge🚀 https://t.co/kU0nUJXtdW
Most people stare at Bitcoin charts. Stock-to-Flow models scarcity. Here are the 10 highest-value S2F insights, the ones that actually change how you think about money. Thread 🧵 1) Scarcity drives monetary value. Stock-to-Flow (S2F) = existing supply ÷ annual new production. Gold sits at ~60. Industrial metals are far lower. Bitcoin’s fixed 21 million + predictable issuance makes its S2F uniquely measurable: ~120 and rising. 2) Halvings are the engine. Every ~4 years the block reward halves. S2F roughly doubles. The model treats them as the core supply-side events. 3) S2F (and S2FX) estimate average/fair value, not exact tops or bottom…
BIP-110 joins BXT, BCH and BSV forks in the history of dead bitcoin ideas. Remember the BIP-110 supporters! They are now removing the evidence from their profile and timelines. But they still have no clue about bitcoin, decentralized bearer assets, spam, PoW, forks, consensus. https://t.co/PxlDvIr4cC
Bitcoin closed July $62,818 200-week moving average $63k Realized price $52k (still decreasing) Monthly RSI 43 (still < 50) It looks like bitcoin has started the bottoming process. This normally takes 1-3 months and BTC would drop lower during this phase (below realized). DYOR. https://t.co/2JlDHB4Jjq
Global bitcoin ownership estimates ~365M people, or 4-5% of world population. Market capitalization relative to gold (~$1.28T vs ~28T) also points to roughly 4-5% bitcoin adoption. In logistic (S-curve) terms 4-5% BTC adoption is in the region where % growth rates remain high. https://t.co/TlGly4SDxd
No regrets
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